Blog: What would a Brexit ‘No Deal’ really mean?

Blog post by Sam Page, member of the Edinburgh EMiS Activists Group

A recent poll has shown that up to 25% of the UK’s population think that ‘No Deal’ means that we would simply go back to the status quo and stay in the EU!

What would the reality look like?

‘No Deal’ means that we would suddenly become a third country (like Mauritania) and literally have no trade deals, either with the EU or any other country in the world. Trade deals take at least 5 years to negotiate.

As a third country, we would also drop out of all EU-related treaties on aviation, safe-guarding radio-active materials, joint scientific research projects, student exchange programmes and access to EU criminal databases.

It would also mean much more red tape: We would have to get visas, private health insurance and additional driver’s licences when we travel. Our freedom to live, study, work, retire and vote in another European country would cease.

More red tape also means that truck drivers would need piles of customs forms and new licences, leading to long delays at borders. ‘Just-in-time’ deliveries of medicines, food and car parts would be hit. New tariffs on cars, beef and lamb exported to the EU would cause the collapse of UK car and some farming industries.  According to World Trade rules we would be obliged to lower our tariffs on food imports – this would lead to an influx of cheap food from countries with much lower health standards, undercutting local farmers and making their businesses unprofitable.

The UK government is currently spending more than £4 billion on preparing for No Deal.


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